Wednesday - September 17, 2014 - 10:10am ET

Current Trend Direction: Climbing higher

Float/Lock Bias: Carefully Floating

Current Price of FNMA 4.0% Bond: $104.97, +3bp

It's Fed day. At 2:00pm ET the Fed will release their monetary policy statement.

Everyone is looking to see if "considerable time" will be left in statement to describe how long the Fed Funds Rate will be held steady post QEIII. We don't see any reason to change the statement at this time, as it would likely hurt Stocks pretty bad...but you never know, so stay tuned.

There is no inflation to speak of based on this morning's numbers as evidenced by the tame inflation data from the Consumer Price Index (CPI), declining by 0.3% in August versus the 0.0% expected. The Core rate was unchanged and below the 0.2% expected. Year-over-year rates - CPI 1.7%, Core also 1.7%, both below the Fed's target range of 2%.

We have been floating since we hit the bottom of the trading range late last week and this has served us well. We will continue to float into the Fed statement and subsequent press conference at 2:30pm ET, as long as the Bond markets behaves for us.

Joe Shamie NMLS # 241432

First Choice Loan Services NMLS # 210764

First Choice Bank NMLS# 177877

866-970-3400 x-5135

jshamie@fcbmtg.com